New YouGov poll

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph has been published. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's most recent poll, are CON 38%(-2), LAB 25%(+1), LDEM 18%(nc). There is a slight fall in Conservative support, but the changes are well within the margin of error. Support for other parties doesn't seem to be subsiding much yet at 19%.

The Telegraph's report is here, but only contains a few more findings. David Cameron leads Gordon Brown as best PM by 35% to 18%, the poll also asked whether people would prefer tax rises or lower public spending - 31% said less spending, 12% higher taxes and 48% a mixture of the two.

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

Read more

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management