More from YouGov's Welsh poll

The full tables for YouGov's Welsh poll for the University of Aberystwyth are now available here.

As well as the Westminster voting intentions, there are also figures for the Welsh Assembly:

Constituency: CON 25%, LAB 32%, LDEM 12%, PC 24% Regional: CON 27%, LAB 30%, LDEM 11%, PC 21%, BNP 4%, Green 3%

That's actually relatively little change in constituency vote since the last election, but an increase in regional support for the Conservatives. By my calculations, on a uniform swing that would produce an assembly with 24 Labour members (down 2), 17 Conservative members (up 5), 12 Plaid Cymru members (down 3), 6 Lib Dems (no change) and 1 independent.

There was wide support for a referendum on giving the Assembly full law-making powers, with 63% in favour. Voting intention in a referendum though was far more evenly split: 42% would vote YES and 37% NO. On the broader question of Wales's status, 14% would prefer an entirely independent Wales, 34% would prefer Wales to remain in the UK but with a full Parliament with law making and tax raising powers, 27% preferred the status quo and 17% would like to see the Assembly abolished.

The outgoing First Minister Rhodri Morgan retains very positive approval ratings, with 63% of people thinking he is doing well and only 19% thinking he is doing a bad job (though of course the poll was taken after he announced his retirement, if you recall, when Tony Blair finally got round to stepping down his figures suddenly became far more positive). Figures for how well people think his potential successors would do are unenlightening, with huge proportions of people saying don't know.