Monday polling round-up
We have our regular glut of Monday polls today, with new figures from YouGov, Populus, Ashcroft and ComRes. Topline figures are:
Populus - CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5% (tabs) Ashcroft - CON 30%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 16%, GRN 6% (tabs) YouGov/Sun - CON 32%, LAB 32%, LD 8%, UKIP 15%, GRN 6% ComRes/Indy - CON 28%, LAB 31%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 18%, GRN 7% (tabs)
A week ago we had a clutch of polls showing an increased Labour lead following Rochester and Strood.
Populus had a couple of polls with 5 point leads, as did Lord Ashcroft, YouGov's poll on the same day produced a four point Labour lead. This week they've all gone back to more typical numbers - it was either a short term effect, or just pure co-incidence. We will never know.
Note that there is a change in ComRes's methodology. As with their online and constituency polling, they have introducing UKIP into the main voting intention prompt. UKIP are down one point since the previous ComRes poll so this does not appear to have had any radical effect.