Latest Welsh voting intentions

ITV Wales have a new poll of Welsh voting intentions by YouGov. Topline voting intentions, with changes from YouGov's previous Welsh poll in November are CON 32%(+1), LAB 35%(+1), LDEM 13%(-1), Plaid Cymru 13%(-1).

This represents a swing of 9.15% from the general election, so represents a slightly bigger swing than YouGov's polls are showing in the country as a whole. If repeated at a general election then on a uniform swing it would result in the Conservatives winning 12 seats (up 9 from now), Labour 20 (down 9), the Liberal Democrats 2 (down 2) and Plaid Cymru 5 (up 2).

YouGov also asked how people would vote in a referendum on extra law making powers for the Welsh assembly. 49% would vote yes, 32% no.

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