Is this Election Unusually Weird?
This week's Expert Panel Survey want's your view.
This week's Expert Panel Survey want's your view. Give it here.
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Pollster's House Effects
This from Survation's CEO Damian Lyons-Lowe on the "house effect" from various pollsters is worth noting; "Labour leads everywhere, by anything from 3 to 8 points. Second place depends on whose poll you read: Opinium, Deltapoll & ourselves have Reform. Ipsos, YouGov, MiC and FON
Reform Now Projected to Get Less Than 100 Seats
Based on current polling a traditional simple uniform swing projection gives Labour 285 seats, Reform 76 seats and the Conservatives almost double with 141 seats. Labour pulled ahead of Reform in mid-July and are now projected to still be 40 seats short of a majority. The Tories crossed over and
Labour Doesn't Need the Greens
A cynic might wonder if Andy Burnham's tack to the left is designed primarily to lure back Green voters. If so it appears to be working. If Labour hold off Zack Polanski's bid for parliament at the Holborn and St Pancras by-election the strategy will be
First Pollster Reports Tories Pushing Reform Into Third Place
New polling from More in Common has Labour leading in the first poll of the Autumn, with the Conservatives displacing Reform by one percentage point. Which is the first time in 18 months that the Conservatives are ahead with this pollster. As Reform kick off party conference season they will
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