Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 29, LAB 40, LD 10, UKIP 12

Ipsos MORI's monthly poll for the Evening Standard is now out, and has topline figures of CON 29% (-2), LAB 40% (+5), LDEM 10% (nc), UKIP 12% (n/c). Whereas ICM showed a big swing back to the Conservatives on Monday, MORI show a big swing back to Labour today... I think it only serves to underline how polls are always at the mercy of normal random error, and how we really shouldn't get too het up about individual polls. Watch the trends, watch the averages.

In the other questions MORI's monthly tracker of consumer confidence found optimism continuing to grow - 35% now expect things to get better over the next year, compared to 30% who expect things to get worse. Full tabs are here.

Meanwhile the daily YouGov poll for the Sun had topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 12%. Full tabs are here