Ipsos MORI Scottish referendum poll - YES 34, NO 57

We finally have a Scottish post-white paper poll from a BPC member: Ipsos MORI have released their regular Scottish public opinion monitor, conducted in the week following the publication of the white paper.

Amongst those certain to vote referendum voting intention is YES 34%(+3), NO 57%(-2). Changes are from the previous MORI poll in September. This represents a slight shift towards the YES campaign in the last three months, though given MORI tend to show one of the largest leads for the No campaign this still leaves them with a 23 point lead.

If the same trend is repeated in other post-white paper polls from companies that tend to show a tigher race we could see some interesting polls. Then again, this is just one poll and the changes are within the margin of error, so we may very well find other polls don't show the same sort of movement at all. Time will tell.