Ipsos MORI have Boris and Ken within 2 points

The full tables for the Ipsos MORI for the Labour party are now out.

Asking ALL respondents, the figures were Livingstone 44%, Johnson 33%, Paddick 16%, Berry 4%. Once all but the top two candidates were elminated and second preferences re-allocated the result becomes Livingstone 51%, Johnson 41% (the figures don't sum to 100% because some people were not reallocated, presumably because they gave second preference votes to candidates that had already been eliminated).

Using MORI's standard filter on likelihood to vote, which is to take only those 10/10 certain to vote, the figures are LIVINGSTONE 42%, JOHNSON 38%, PADDICK 16%, BERRY 2%. When the second preferences of those certain to vote are reallocated, the final result becomes LIVINGSTONE 48%, JOHNSON 46%.

Interestingly these don't tally with the figures released by the press yesterday - I think that's because those figures had not been repercentaged to exclude don't knows and won't votes.

As I said this morning the poll is already a fortnight old and was conducted prior to Lee Jasper's suspension and the negative publicity that brought Ken Livingstone (though I suspect the contrast with the more recent YouGov poll that showed Boris ahead on first preferences is more to do with methodology than a shift in support). Either way, with only 2% between them on the second count, the race appears to be very, very close.