Ipsos MORI - CON 30, LAB 43, LD 8, UKIP 9

The monthly Ipsos MORI political monitor came out earlier today and has topline figures of CON 30%(-5), LAB 43%(-1), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP 9%(+2). Full details are here.

While we've seen it from some other companies, it is the first time that MORI have shown UKIP ahead of the Lib Dems (and, I think, the first time we've seen it happen in a telephone poll, which tend to show lower levels of UKIP support than online polls). There is also a sharp drop in Conservative support - normal caveats apply there: sure, it could be the start of a trend, but it could also be normal random sample error (that said, YouGov's daily polls have been showing leads towards the upper end of their normal range of late, so its worth keeping an eye on).