ICM/Guardian - CON 37, LAB 39, LD 12

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has been released here. Topline figures with changes from May are CON 37%(+1), LAB 39%(+2), LDEM 12%(-3), Others 12%(+1).

The Lib Dem score is the lowest ICM have recorded for 14 years according to the Guardian, though of course, it would be a comparatively good score for the Lib Dems were it from Populus, MORI or (especially) YouGov. ICM have, for reasons which are not obvious, tended to show a higher Lib Dem score than other companies, even Populus who have very similar methods.

ICM also asked leadership approval ratings. David Cameron's stand at minus 5, Nick Clegg's at minus 20 and Ed Miliband's at minus 21. According to the Guardian his ratings are lower than Hague and Howard scored as opposition leader in ICM polls, and on a par with the doomed IDS. This follows recent polls by ComRes and YouGov which have also shown increasingly bad ratings for Miliband, though is the first one to show him with worse ratings than Clegg.

ICM also asked about the reforms to public sector pensions and found 49% in support and 41% opposed, so slightly more in favour than against, compared to the YouGov/Sunday Times findings at the weekend which were marginally against. The difference will probably be down to the question itself, since it takes quite a lot of text to explain the actual proposals, but either way the public are pretty evenly divided.

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