ICM/Guardian - CON 32%, LAB 40%, LDEM 13%

The last monthly poll of the year that was still outstanding, ICM for the Guardian, turned up on Christmas Day of all times. Topline figures were CON 32%(nc), LAB 40%(nc), LDEM 13%(nc) - the figures are all typical of ICM's polling of late (the comparatively high Liberal Democrat level of support is methodological, and normally due to the reallocation of a proportion of don't knows to the party they voted for last time, which usually produces a higher Lib Dem score and a lower Labour lead).

Depending on what TNS BMRB and Opinium are doing with their regular polls over the Christmas break, this may well be our last poll of the year.

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