ICM show the Tory lead dropping to 7 points

The first of tonight's two polls is out - ICM for the Guardian have topline figures of CON 37%(-2), LAB 30%(nc), LDEM 20%(nc). The poll was conducted between Friday and Sunday, so the majority would have been conducted before the "Bully Brown" story broke, and the overwhelming majority before the intervention of Christine Pratt made it into a really major story. The poll echoes the narrowing YouGov have shown since Brown's interview with Piers Morgan.

It worth noting that while polls showing a narrowing of the Tory lead have become commonplace, this one is rather unusual in that the Tories are down and Labour are static. Despite the narrowing gap, almost all polls continue to show the Conservatives up around 39% - up to now the narrowing has overwhelmingly been due to a strong recovery from Labour since last autumn.

YouGov for the Sun will be out later. The fieldwork was conducted yesterday and today, so it will be post "Bully Brown".

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