Happy Easter

There is no YouGov/Sunday Times poll this weekend due to the bank holiday on Good Friday (there also isn't one on Easter Monday for the same reason). Pollsters tend to be wary of doing fieldwork on bank holiday weekends - people go out with their families, go on holidays, etc and there's a risk that samples may be skewed in unusual ways. The example I always quote is from Populus's 3-day rolling poll before the 2005 election, which produced a wacky sample with the Tories in third place over the May bank holiday weekend meaning Populus showed a weirdly high Labour lead for three days until the wacky sample worked its way out.

However, one anecdote isn't data, and there are also examples of polls over bank holiday weekends that have produced perfectly normal results (YouGov did poll over the royal wedding bank holiday last year, for example, and the results were completely normal), so it's far from a given that bank holiday polls will give dodgy results, it's just something I like to avoid if possible just to be on the safe side.

Anyway, no YouGov tonight. I believe there is a Survation poll in the Mail on Sunday, but nothing else I am aware of.

UPDATE: The Survation poll has topline figures, with changes from a fortnight ago, of CON 30%(-1), LAB 35%(-4), LDEM 11%(nc), UKIP 11%(+3), Others 12%(+2). It's the first time that UKIP have caught the Lib Dems, though Survation typically show very high UKIP scores compared to other companies, as they prompt for them in the main survey question (although no longer for the Greens, now they prompt just Con, Lab, LD, UKIP). I discussed the effect of this, and why other companies don't do the same, in this post last November.