Friday's YouGov and Populus polls

Tonight we will have new polls due from ComRes in the Indy on Sunday/Sunday Mirror and YouGov in the Sunday Times. In the meantime though, a quite update on the other polls this week.

Thursday's YouGov poll had topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%; Friday's poll had figures of CON 33%, LAB 32%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15%. In other words, YouGov's figures continue to show normal random variation around an underlying average of an Labour lead of one point or so.

Populus's Friday poll had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 13%. The two point Labour lead is bang in line with Populus's polls over the last month.

Polls over the last few months have got much tighter, and now seem to be averaging at a Labour lead of around a single point, compared to around six points at the start of the year. The eye catching ICM and MORI polls earlier in the week made some think this was a result of last weekend's stories around Ed Miliband's leadership but looking at this week's polling as a whole that really doesn't seem to be the case. The polls remain very, very tight... but there isn't any great change from a week ago.

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