First Glasgow North East poll

The Sunday Times today carries the first poll for the forthcoming Glasgow North East by-election. It is carried out by Scottish Opinion and shows vote shares of CON 6%, LAB 51%, LDEM 3%, SNP 33%.

The Sunday Times report concludes from this that "The SNP would struggle to win a snap by-election in Michael Martin's Glasgow North East constituency". I wouldn't be so sure - Scottish Opinion also polled for the Glasgow East by-election, and a week before polling day were showing a 17% Labour lead...

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Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

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What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management