Expectations for the next election

We would normally expect to see Populus's monthly poll for the Times go into the field over the weekend, but given it is a bank holiday we'll have to wait and see if they delay it a week. In the meantime Saturday's Times does contain some new Populus polling - what seems to be a rather strange little poll with just a single question.

55% of people now expect the Conservatives to gain a majority at the next election, including 12% who expect a Tory majority of over 100. An additional 12% expect the Conservatives to be the largest party in a hung Parliament. 7% expect Labour to be the largest party in a hung Parliament, and 18% expect Labour to retain an overall majority.