EU Referendum

EU Membership Referendum

Referendum Question/voting intention

Polls asking referendum voting intention including the wording of the proposed referendum. Note that the wording of the question was changed from September 2015 on the recommendation of the Electoral Commission.


	Date	Remain	Leave	WNV or DK	Remain	Leave

Survation/IG	20/6/2016	45	44	11	51	49
YouGov/Times	19/6/2016	42	44	13	49	51
ORB/Telegraph	19/6/2016	54	46	n/a	54	46
Survation/Mail on Sunday	18/6/2016	45	42	13	52	48
YouGov/Times	17/6/2016	44	43	9	51	49
Opinium/Observer	17/6/2016	44	44	12	50	50
YouGov/ITV	16/6/2016	42	44	9	49	51
Survation/IG	15/6/2016	42	45	13	48	52
BMG (P)	15/6/2016	53	47	n/a	53	47
BMG (O)	15/6/2016	45	55	n/a	45	55
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	14/6/2016	43	49	3	47	53
YouGov/Times	13/6/2016	39	46	15	46	54
ICM/Guardian (P)	13/6/2016	45	50	5	47	53
ICM/Guardian (O)	13/6/2016	44	49	7	47	53
ComRes/Sun	13/6/2016	46	45	9	51	49
TNS	13/6/2016	40	47	13	46	54
ORB/Telegraph	12/6/2016	49	44	7	53	47
NatCen	12/6/2016	53	47	n/a	53	47
YouGov/Times	10/6/2016	42	43	11	49	51
Opinium/Observer	10/6/2016	44	42	13	51	49
ORB/Independent (O)	9/6/2016	45	55	n/a	45	55
YouGov/Times	6/6/2016	43	42	15	51	49
ICM	5/6/2016	43	48	9	47	53
ORB/Telegraph	5/6/2016	52	40	7	57	43
YouGov/GMB	3/6/2016	41	45	15	48	52
Opinium/Observer	3/6/2016	43	41	16	51	49
YouGov/Times	31/5/2016	41	41	17	50	50
ICM/Guardian (P)	29/5/2016	42	45	15	48	52
ICM/Guardian (O)	29/5/2016	44	47	9	48	52
ORB/Telegraph	29/5/2016	51	46	3	53	47
BMG	25/5/2016	44	45	12	49	51
Survation/IG	24/5/2016	44	38	18	54	46
YouGov/TImes	24/5/2016	41	41	17	50	50
ICM	22/5/2016	45	45	10	50	50
ORB/Telegraph	22/5/2016	55	42	3	57	43
Opinium/Observor	19/5/2016	44	40	14	52	48
YouGov/Times	17/5/2016	44	40	15	52	48
ComRes/Daily Mail	17/5/2016	52	41	7	56	44
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	16/5/2016	55	37	5	60	40
ICM/Guardian (P)	15/5/2016	47	39	14	55	45
ICM/Guardian (O)	15/5/2016	43	47	10	48	52
ICM	8/5/2016	44	46	11	49	51
YouGov/Good Morning Britain	6/5/2016	42	40	19	51	49
ICM	3/5/2016	44	45	11	49	51
ICM	29/4/2016	43	46	11	48	52
Opinium/Observer	29/4/2016	42	41	14	51	49
ORB/Independent	29/4/2016	49	51	n/a	49	51
TNS	28/4/2016	39	36	26	52	48
YouGov/Times	26/4/2016	41	42	17	49	51
Survation/IG Group	26/4/2016	45	38	17	54	46
BMG	26/4/2016	43	45	13	49	51
ICM	24/4/2016	44	46	10	49	51
ORB/Telegraph	24/4/2016	51	43	6	54	46
ComRes/Daily Mail	19/4/2016	51	40	9	56	44
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	18/4/2016	49	39	8	56	44
ICM/Guardian (O)	17/4/2016	43	44	13	49	51
ICM/Guardian (P)	17/4/2016	48	41	11	54	46
ORB/Telegraph	17/4/2016	53	41	6	56	44
TNS	14/4/2016	39	34	28	53	47
YouGov/Good Morning Britain	14/4/2016	40	39	21	51	49
YouGov/Times	12/4/2016	39	39	22	50	50
TNS	11/4/2016	35	35	30	50	50
ComRes/Sun	10/4/2016	45	38	17	54	46
ICM	10/4/2016	42	45	12	48	52
YouGov	7/4/2016	40	38	21	51	49
YouGov	4/4/2016	39	38	23	51	49
ICM	3/4/2016	44	43	13	51	49
ORB/Telegraph	3/4/2016	51	44	5	54	46
Opinium/Observer	1/4/2016	39	43	18	48	52
TNS	29/3/2016	35	35	30	50	50
BMG	29/3/2016	41	45	14	48	52
ORB	28/3/2016	51	49	n/a	51	49
ICM	24/3/2016	45	43	12	51	49
ComRes/ITV	20/3/2016	48	41	11	54	46
ICM	20/3/2016	41	43	17	49	51
Survation	19/3/2016	46	35	19	57	43
ICM	13/3/2016	43	41	16	51	49
ICM	6/3/2016	40	41	19	49	51
YouGov	3/3/2016	40	37	18	52	48
YouGov	2/3/2016	40	35	19	53	47
YouGov	1/3/2016	39	37	19	51	49
ICM	29/2/2016	41	41	18	50	50
ORB	25/2/2016	48	52	n/a	48	52
YouGov/Times	23/2/2016	37	38	25	49	51
BMG	23/2/2016	44	41	15	52	48
ICM	22/2/2016	42	40	17	51	49
ComRes/Daily Mail	22/2/2016	51	39	10	57	43
Survation/Mail on Sunday	20/2/2016	48	33	19	59	41
Ipsos MORI/Standard	16/2/2016	54	36	10	60	40
TNS	15/2/2016	36	39	25	48	52
ICM	14/2/2016	43	39	18	52	48
ComRes/ITV	14/2/2016	49	41	10	54	46
ICM	7/2/2016	41	42	17	49	51
YouGov/Times	4/2/2016	36	45	19	44	56
YouGov	28/1/2016	38	42	20	48	53
Ipsos MORI/Standard	25/1/2016	55	36	9	60	40
BMG	25/1/2016	44	42	14	51	49
ComRes/Daily Mail	24/1/2016	54	36	10	60	40
ICM	17/1/2016	42	40	17	51	49
Survation/Mail on Sunday	16/1/2016	38	42	20	48	53
Panelbase	14/1/2016	42	45	12	48	52
ICM	11/1/2016	44	38	18	54	46
Ipsos MORI/Standard	14/12/2015	58	32	10	64	36
ComRes/OpenEurope	13/12/2015	56	35	8	62	38
ICM	13/12/2015	42	41	17	50	50
ComRes (O)	11/12/2015	41	41	18	50	50
ICM	06/12/2015	43	39	17	52	48
Survation/ADDE	03/12/2015	40	42	18	49	51
YouGov	24/11/2015	41	41	18	50	50
ICM	22/11/2015	45	38	17	54	46
ORB/Independent	19/11/2015	48	52	n/a	48	52
BMG/Evening Standard	17/11/2015	43	43	15	50	50
Survation/Leave.EU	17/11/2015	43	40	18	52	48
ICM	15/11/2015	43	38	19	53	47
Survation/Leave.EU	11/11/2015	39	43	19	47	53
ICM	08/11/2015	46	38	16	55	45
ICM	01/11/2015	44	38	18	54	46
ICM	25/10/2015	45	38	17	54	46
ORB/Independent	25/10/2015	53	47	n/a	53	47
YouGov/Prospect	20/10/2015	42	40	17	51	49
Ipsos MORI	19/10/2015	52	36	12	59	41
ICM	18/10/2015	44	38	18	54	46
YouGov/University of Kent	12/10/2015				51	49
ICM	11/10/2015	45	36	18	56	44
ICM/VoteLeave	7/10/2015	44	39	17	53	47
ICM	4/10/2015	42	38	20	53	47
ComRes/Daily Mail	28/9/2015	55	36	8	60	40
ICM	27/9/2015	45	38	17	54	46
YouGov	17/9/2015	38	40	22	49	51
ICM	13/9/2015	43	40	17	52	48
Survation/Mail on Sunday	4/9/2015	40	43	17	48	52

Referendum wording changed

YouGov	19/8/2015	44	37	20	54	46
Ipsos MORI	2/7/2015	52	31	17	63	37
ORB/Independent	21/6/2015	55	45	n/a	55	45
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	16/6/2015	66	22	12	75	25
YouGov	11/6/2015	43	36	21	54	46
YouGov/Prospect	2/6/2015	44	34	21	56	44
YouGov	2/6/2015	42	35	22	55	45
ComRes/Daily Mail	31/5/2015	58	31	11	65	35
ICM	31/5/2015	43	35	22	55	45
YouGov/Sunday Times	22/5/2015	44	36	20	55	45

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