Daily YouGov poll - 38/31/19

Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 38%(-1), LAB 31%(-1), LDEM 19%(+1). The lead remains at seven points and there is clearly no significant change from yesterday. The increased Tory lead post budget does seem to be genuine, though as I said yesterday, we can't tell if it will last.

While they are up one there is no vast Lib Dem boost from the Chancellors' debate, though I as I said yesterday, it wouldn't necessarily show up until tomorrow. Personally I doubt there will be

- the media coverage this morning wasn't particularly substantial and already seems to have moved on to Tony Blair's speech and elderly care. The main leader debates are far more likely to impact the campaign.

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