Crime and Lee Jasper have damaged Livingstone

Or at least, that's the conclusion I draw from the ICM poll. If you look at all the other questions in the survey that asked respondents to compare Boris Johnson and Ken Livingstone on various criteria, Livingstone is ahead upon nearly all of them: he has a 10 point lead on the environment, a 13 point lead on the buses, a 6 point lead on "getting on with the job", an 11 point lead on understanding the needs of Londoners. 51% of people think, on the whole he has been good for London.

This looks like the profile of a candidate who should be ahead. There are two weaknesses though, and presumably these are why Boris Johnson actually leads. Firstly crime, where Johnson has an eight point lead, and secondly three questions where I can only guess that the Lee Jasper affair has damaged the mayor: honesty, where Johnson leads by 10 points, standards of public office where Johnson leads by 4 points, and picking the best team to run London, where Johnson also leads by 4.