Contrasting polls from ICM and Populus

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 37%(nc), LAB 36%(-3), LDEM 16%(+4). This is the first poll to show a Conservative lead since March, which was also ICM.

In contrast Populus's monthly poll in the Times has figures of CON 34%(-5), LAB 39%(-1), LDEM 11%(+2), a big drop in Conservative support, and their higher Labour lead since, er, March.

I will do a bigger round up later on when we have all the polls from tonight. We still have YouGov for the Sun at 10pm, and a ComRes poll for the News at Ten (though that does not have voting intention).

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