ComRes show 9 point Tory lead

ComRes's poll tonight has topline figures of CON 35%(+3), LAB 26%(-2), LDEM 26%(-2). This puts the Conservatives nine points ahead, the biggest lead they've had since February from ComRes. Obviously it's showing a different trend to the other polls tonight, but it is worth noting that ComRes's fieldwork was done on Sunday and Monday, so this poll is actually a day older than the Angus Reid, Populus and YouGov data we've seen so far this morning. On that basis, I suspect this is just an outlier - if the Liberal Democrat bubble really had burst, we'd have expected to see evidence of it in the other three polls tonight.

One thing that does strike me is that ComRes are using a rolling poll - half the fieldwork for this poll was also used in yesterday's poll. With that in mind, there must have been a very high Conservative score in today's fieldwork (or a very low Conservative score in the Saturday data that's dropped off) in order to shift their vote by 3 points.

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