ComRes monthly Indy poll

ComRes's monthly poll for the Independent has topline figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 44%(+3), LAB 28%(+3), LDEM 17%(-5). The poll was conducted between February 27th and March 1st.

The previous ComRes poll had showed a sudden and inexplicable leap in Lib Dem support which rose 6 points. As with ICM, which showed a similar increase and decrease, this poll shows them slumping back down again. As I said when ICM put their last poll out, it's theoretically possible that the Lib Dems enjoyed a genuine, but extremely short lived, blip in support - but my guess it that those ICM and ComRes polls showing 6 point leaps in their support were just freak results and really we have a pretty static position.

Meanwhile the Conservatives retain a 16 point lead in the polls. This is the first poll since the tragic death of Ivan Cameron and I thought we might see an articial leap in Conservative support or, more likely, in David Cameron's personal ratings as respondents wanted to be charitable towards a man going through such personal trauma and sadness. In terms of headline voting intention at least, there is no obvious sign of it.

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