Christmas fun

Naturally I wouldn't expect any polls in the next few days, so in the meantime here's a Christmas toy to play with - a nice graphical version of my swingometer. Before you click on any links, it uses Javascript and SVG, which Internet Explorer does not yet implement, so if you are an IE user you'll need to download a plugin here to get it to work.

The basic version is here - Swingometer map, which is basically just the swingometer we already have on the site, but with a pretty map. There is also an advanced version here - advanced swingometer map, which does something a lot of people have asked for, allowing Scottish (and Welsh) figures to be entered seperately - the swingometer then calculates what the swing must be in England and Wales if the GB figures are X and the Scotland figures are Y.

This is very much a beta version, so let me know of any obvious problems you find - in particular I don't know whether this is going to work nicely for Mac users (Safari does support SVG so it should). Note the figures don't match those in the current swingometer exactly because they take account of Buckingham being the Speaker's seat and the pact between the Conservatives and UUP.

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

Read more

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management