Boris 10 points ahead in Mayoral race

Not confimed yet, but apparently a new YouGov poll for the Standard has topline voting intentions, with changes from their last poll, of JOHNSON 47% (-2), LIVINGSTONE 37% (nc), PADDICK 10% (-2), Others 5%. With no candidate getting over 50% support, the second preferences of other candidates would come into play. This poll shows second prefrences splitting in favour of Boris Johnson, so if repeated at the election in May there is no doubt Boris Johnson would be the next mayor. The poll was conducted between the 20th and 25th March.

As with the national YouGov poll last week these figures confirm a trend. When the YouGov poll at the start of the month showed a 12 point lead for Boris Johnson it could possibly have turned out to be a rogue. With a second poll showing the same magnitude of lead, and nothing to contradict it, we can be pretty confident that Boris Johnson has a substantial lead and, barring 'events', looks headed for a victory in May.

Past London Mayor polls are here, lists of candidates for mayor and the assembly are here.

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