Another Lib Dem boost from ICM

Following YouGov's poll yesterday giving the Lib Dems a three point conference boost, a new ICM poll in the News of the World gives them at 4 point increase. The topline figures, with changes from their last poll just before the Lib Dem conference began, are CON 40%(-3), LAB 26%(nc), LDEM 23%(+4).

This is the second highest Lib Dem rating in any poll since 2006 (the highest being that strange ICM poll in May this year that put them in second place on 25%). Of course, ahead of us we now have the Labour conference and - unless things go horribly wrong for them - we should expect to see them receive their own boost next week, followed in due turn by a Conservative boost in the final week. Such is the story of conference season polling - the interesting bit would be any departure from that pattern.

UPDATE: The News of the World report claims their poll shows "Gordon Brown could still win election", and indeed BBC News 24 reported the poll as showing this in their headlines. Their full report is in the paper tomorrow, and perhaps there will be something in it to justify this. However, from the figures in their report there is nothing whatsoever that can lead to that conclusion. It appears to be based on 59% of respondents saying they think there is at least a slim chance that Labour could still win. This is not, I really shouldn't need to point out, the same thing.

UPDATE2: Full tables are here.