AngusReid still have the Tory lead at 17
There is a new AngusReid poll for politicalbetting.. The topline figures, with changes from their previous poll, are CON 40%(+1), LAB 23%(+1), LDEM 19%(-2), Others 18%.
It was conducted between Tuesday and Thursday, and according to Mike about a third of it was conducted after the PBR. In practice that means this won't really show any PBR effect, since a fair proportion of that third of the sample wouldn't have seen the PBR anyway, and very few would have digested the media response.
The trend is clearly one of no change. All the polling companies but Angus Reid are now showing a narrowing of the Tory lead, and there is an increasingly sharp contrast between the level of Labour support they are picking up and that of other companies. As I've said before, part of this will be their weighting figures (AngusReid weight to actual 2005 shares of the vote, rather than shares adjusted to account for false recall) and part will be down to a higher level of support for others (which I can see no obvious methodological explanation for). They should, however, be showing the same overall trend.
Andrew Hawkins of ComRes has implied on his twitter feed that we'll also be getting something from them tonight, though I don't know if there's really been time for a post PBR voting intention poll.
