Angus Reid poll shows Tory lead falling
Political Betting has a new Angus Reid poll. The topline figures, with changes from their previous poll a fortnight ago, are CON 38%(-2), LAB 25%(+1), LDEM 20%(+1).
After three polls showing virtually no movement at all I was tempted to headline this poll "Angus Reid poll finally moves", but anyway - Angus Reid's last poll was on the only since the end of the recession not to show the Conservative lead dropping. These latest figures do echo the trend we've seen in all the other pollsters.
As usual, Angus Reid are showing a significantly lower level of Labour support than other companies. This is almost certainly due to methodological differences - at least partially it is because Angus Reid weight their sample's recalled 2005 vote to the actual result of the 2005 election, when other companies who use past vote weighting assume some level of past recall and weight Labour to a higher figure.
