UK Polling Report
Home
  • Seats
  • Polls
  • Projections
  • Maps
  • Analysis
Home
  • Seats
  • Polls
  • Projections
  • Maps
  • Analysis

projections

Latest General Election Projection:  Knife Edge Coalitions

projections

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

By Editor 29 Apr 2026
National Projections Show Reform Would Fall Short of a Majority

projections

National Projections Show Reform Would Fall Short of a Majority

As we work on updating the database, dealing with edge cases and debugging the algorithm's outputs we're are now confident that our two basic models are working as expected. At this stage of the election cycle we are running two models - a conventional uniform national

By Editor 17 Feb 2026
Wildly Bad on Wildcards

projections

Wildly Bad on Wildcards

It is now a month after the election and after a break from the frenzy that was, it seems like a good time to reflect on how we did and what we learnt. This is the first of two posts and we are going to get the bad news out

By Frank D'Anconia 13 Aug 2024

Latest Polls

Loading latest polls...

All poll data
UK Polling Report
  • About
  • Models
  • Contact
  • Privacy
  • Cookies
  • Donate
  • RSS
  • Admin
Powered by Ghost
✉

Email Newsletter

Sign up to receive occasional updates from UK Polling Report.