Electoral Calculus - UK Polling Report

YouGov

Local Elections 2023: How the Pollsters' Predictions Measure Up

We now have a full set of results from Thursday's local elections, and a good night for the opposition parties, particularly the Liberal Democrats, saw the Conservatives losing 1,063 seats, whilst Labour gained 536, the Lib Dems 407 and the Greens 241. Meanwhile, the BBC's

YouGov

Pollsters' Predictions: What They Expect in Tomorrow's Local Elections

With Local Elections less than 24 hours away, the main party machines have been out in force setting expectations for Thursday's poll. Greg Hands was keen to set expectations low - he warned of Conservative losses around the 1,000-seat mark. Meanwhile, Keir Starmer did the same for

Savanta

Labour's MRP Landslide Shouldn't Breed Complacency

Savanta have recently published the results of an MRP poll conducted alongside Electoral Calculus and it makes gripping reading. The poll gives Labour 482 seats to the Conservatives' 69. That's a majority of 314. Amongst the headline findings are a Conservative wipe-out North of Lincolnshire. Naturally the