There are two polls in this morning's papers. The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer has topline figures of CON 31%(-1), LAB 35%(+2), LDEM 6%(-1), UKIP 19%(nc). Charges are from their pre-European election poll, so show the sort of increase in the Labour lead
Yesterday was the Newark by-election, a relatively comfortable hold for the Conservatives over UKIP in second place. When the by-election was first announced there was an obvious risk for the Tories - it was taking place at a time when UKIP would be basking in the glory of a successful
This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 30%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 17%. Seventeen percent for UKIP is the highest YouGov have shown since May 2013, also in the aftermath of a strong performance for UKIP at the ballot box. Looking at
Lord Ashcroft has released two polls this afternoon, his regular weekly GB poll and a poll for the Newark by-election later this week. In Newark he has topline figures of CON 42%(-12), LAB 20%(-2), LDEM 6%(-14), UKIP 27%(+23) - changes are since the general election. Compared
The weekly YouGov results for the Sunday Times are up here; topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%. Nick Clegg always scores badly on leadership ratings anyway, but following last week he's broken his own records. 13% think he is doing well as
Tomorrow's Sun has a Survation poll of Newark, ahead of the by-election next week. Topline figures with changes since the general election are CON 36%(-18), LAB 27%(+5), LD 5%(-15), UKIP 28%(+24). This is the first poll we've had of Newark, and unless
Yesterday we had a selection of ICM polls in Liberal Democrat seats, initially released anonymously but eventually confirmed as having been commissioned by Lord Oakeshott. Oakeshott has now resigned, but left saying that Cable knew about the polls. The political row rolls on, but I'm just going to
I've been laid low with a stomach bug all day so haven't had time to really write about today's polling. For the record though here are the two new polls from Lord Ashcroft and Populus. Lord Ashcroft's poll has topline figures of
Time for a post-mortem of the European election polling. I'm not a fan of the sort of horse-race approach to these things - just because they are the final poll of the race, they still have normal margins of error, so if one pollster is a fraction more
There were three polls in the Sunday papers today. Opinium in the Observer had topline figures of CON 32%. LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 19%. The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times also had only a one point lead for the Labour party: CON 34%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%
Lord Ashcorft has published some new polling of marginal seats, full details here. As with the ComRes marginal poll in the week the seats polled were mostly ultra-marginal seats - in this case, the 12 most marginal Con-Lab seats, the 12 most marginal Lab-Con seats, but whereas the ComRes poll
I'm having a nice rest after the election, but a brief update to add the BBC's projected national vote - CON 29%, LAB 31%, LD 13%, UKIP 17%. So in relation to my previous comments on the local results, Labour's lead is indeed only
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