Yesterday I got a strange phone call from a journalist who'd heard there was a poll out showing Blair in a positive light - presumably she meant the ICM poll in today's Guardian. Despite the rock bottom current approval ratings of Tony Blair, when asked to
With the results from the Scottish election in, how did the pollsters do? All the pollsters underestimated the level of Conservative support in the constituency section (and all by the same amount), Populus's Labour support was too low and YouGov's SNP support too high, leaving ICM
I remember that a year ago my referral logs in the days running up to the local elections were full of people searching for local election opinion polls. They must have come away disappointed, because there were practically none. It looks as though they'll be similarly disappointed this
A new YouGov poll in Scotland carried out for the ESRC between the 17th and 23rd April has voting intentions in the constituency vote of CON 15%, LAB 30%, LDEM 12%, SNP 38%. In the regional vote support stands at CON 14%, LAB 27%, LDEM 12%, SNP 32% (and, presumably,
As well as the Scottish poll today also saw the publication of YouGov's monthly GB poll. The topline figures with changes from their last poll are CON 37%(-2), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 18%(+1). The changes in this poll alone are insignificant, but the drop in Conservative
This week there have been two new polls for the Welsh Assembly elections. The first was by Beaufort Research for the Western Mail and conducted between April 16th-23rd. We don't know much about how Beaufort's polls are weighted or adjusted other than that the poll is
Two new YouGov polls today, one covering Scotland, the other their monthly GB poll for the Telegprah. The Scottish voting intention poll, with changes from their last Scottish poll, has constituency figures of CON 13%(-1), LAB 30%(nc), LDEM 15%(nc), SNP 39%(+2). Regional support stands at CON
ICM's April poll suggests a narrowing of the Tory lead. The headline figures with changes from ICM's last poll are CON 37%(-4), LAB 30%(-1), LDEM 21%(+3). The Labour and Lib Dem figures are pretty much par for the course from ICM polls, and
Communicate Research's monthly poll for the Independent shows Labour at their lowest level for decades - the last polls I can find with Labour this low are from September 1983. The headline voting intention figures, with changes from last month are CON 36%(+1), LAB 27%(-4), LDEM
Friday and today have seen new voting intention polls for the Scottish Parliamentary elections from Populus and YouGov. Support in the constituency vote stands at: Populus: CON 13%, LAB 30%, LDEM 18%, SNP 34% YouGov: CON 14%, LAB 30%, LDEM 15%, SNP 37% And in the regional vote: Populus: CON
Populus's monthly poll for the Times as usual includes a hypothetical question asking how people would vote with Gordon Brown as Labour leader. As usual this shows the Conservative lead growing with Brown as Labour leader - to 11 points - though not as much as last month.
Populus's April poll has headline figures of CON 37%(-1), LAB 29%(-1), LDEM 20%(+2), a Conservative lead of 8 points. There is no significant movement from last month, though for those who record such things, this is Labour's lowest score in a Populus poll
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