Sunday's News of the World carries a new ICM poll of 192 Labour held marginal constituencies where the Conservatives are in second place. The poll shows a swing of 11.5% in these seats, which according to ICM would equate to 164 Conservative gains and a majority of
There is a new YouGov poll in tomorrow's Telegraph, which shows a respectable boost for the Conservatives following their conference. Topline voting intentions, with changes from the poll taken after the Labour conference, of CON 45%(+4), LAB 31%(nc), LDEM 15%(-1). It shows a reasonable boost
Since the YouGov poll I thought might have surfaced yesterday didn't, the first post-Conservative conference poll is in fact from from ICM in the Guardian, conducted on Wednesday and Thursday (presumably the fieldwork began after Cameron's speech, though the Guardian are not specific about it). The
If the timings are the same as after Gordon Brown's speech we should expect YouGov's post-Cameron speech poll to turn up later on tonight. I'm at a planning meeting this evening, so feel free to post the figures here if they are published tonight
There is a new ComRes poll for the Independent out tomorrow. The topline voting intentions, with changes from ComRes's last poll which was done immediately after the Lib Dem conference, are CON 41%(+2), LAB 29%(+2), LDEM 18%(-3). We've got the Lib Dem conference
The comments I've received on the post-conference Labour polls contain a lot of encouraged Labour supporters thinking that the mood may have changed, sometimes seemingly quite bewildered about why people are quite so dismissive of the polls showing a smaller Labour lead. I've been phoned up
Unless there is anything still to come out before the Conservative conference begins and starts to have its own effect (or lack of) on the polls, the final post-Labour conference poll has appeared, this time from BPIX in the Sunday Telegraph. The topline figures, with changes from the last BPIX
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian is out and shows very similar figures to YouGov's poll. It was conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, just after Brown's conference speech and one day after YouGov's poll, and shows a similar boost in Labour'
The first poll conducted since Gordon Brown's speech has some good news for Labour. The YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 41% (-3) LAB 31%(+7) LDEM 16%(-4). It was conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday, with the fieldwork starting after Brown's
It hasn't been formally announced, but it is being reported that the Glenrothes election will be on the 6th November, which may go some way of disrupting the media hype in the build up to the by-election now it will be overshadowed by the US Presidential election. The
The ICM poll we expected last night turns out to be a Glenrothes constituency poll for the Mail on Sunday. The poll shows Labour and the SNP neck and neck on 43% support, and asked how they would vote if the by-election was seen as decisive to Brown's
YouGov have a new poll of Labour party members in the Sunday Times, and it shows even Labour members distinctly unenthusiastic about their leader. His net approval rating is a flat zero - 49% think he is doing well, 49% think he is doing badly. Asked why Gordon Brown'
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