Tomorrow's Sun has some YouGov polling around David Cameron's first hundred(ish) days in power. Topline voting intention is CON 41%, LAB 37%, LDEM 15%, a four percent lead for the Conservatives. Over the last week or so YouGov seem to have started to show leads
There was a Harris poll in the Daily Mail yesterday. Voting intention figures are incomprehensible. To quote from the Mail "The Tories are down from 36 per cent at the election to just 29 per cent, while Lib Dem support has collapsed from 23 per cent to just 12.
On Newsnight yesterday they had a price about what the political impact might be of the reduction in seat numbers to 600, based on a projection by Simon Wilks-Heeg and Stephen Crone. Mark Pack has kindly put Wilks-Heeg and Crone's actual paper up on scribd here. The paper
YouGov's daily voting intention figures today are CON 41%, LAB 37%, LDEM 15%. Government approval is at 41%, disapproval at 40%, giving a net value of just +1, the lowest it's been since the general election. There is a slow downwards trend in the net score,
Yesterday ConservativeHome and Guido both had stories about a possible return to the frontbench for David Laws, saying the government were testing the water on how it would be recieved. YouGov ran a question for the Sun yesterday asking if people thought David Laws should be able to return to
There are two new polls tonight. YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 36%, LDEM 15% - meanwhile ComRes in the Indy have their first poll since the end of June, with topline figures of CON 39%(-1), LAB 33%(+2), LDEM
There is a new TNS-BMRB poll in the Herald. Voting intentions in the Scottish parliament (with changes from TNS's poll in June) are: Holyrood constituency: CON 10%(-3), LAB 46%(+1), LDEM 11%(nc), SNP 32%(+3) Holyrood regional: CON 11%(-1), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 12%(nc)
YouGov's regular poll for the Sunday Times (link behind paywall) has topline figures of CON 42%, LAB 36%, LDEM 13% - which is pretty much the average for YouGov's recent polls, and presumably a good reflection of where we really are. As usual in polls for
Time for an update on this week's voting intention polls. Here are YouGov's figures this week: YouGov/Sun August 2nd: CON 42% LAB 38% LDEM 12% YouGov/Sun August 3rd: CON 41% LAB 36% LDEM 13% YouGov/Sun August 4th: CON 42% LAB 36% LDEM 13%
One of the first challenges for Labour's new leader will be to identify why the party lost and what they need to do to make themselves electable once more. This is not necessarily an easy task (it took the Conservative party a decade!), they must convince their own
Was pretty much the gist of what Chris Huhne said on the Marr programme yesterday. I rather like that response - I hate it when politicians resort to the cliches of "I never pay attention to polls" (course you don't, just like all the other politicians
I don't often write about polls of specialist groups, unlike polls of the general public (relevant because they are the people who vote in elections, and easily defined because it is everyone entitled to vote) they are often rather arbitary and hazily defined samples. However, since it'
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