New YouGov and ComRes polls

There are two new polls tonight. YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 36%, LDEM 15% - meanwhile ComRes in the Indy have their first poll since the end of June, with topline figures of CON 39%(-1), LAB 33%(+2), LDEM 16%(-2).

The Conservative and Lib Dem figures are much the same in the two companies' polls, but there's a bit of a difference in the Labour party scores - and indeed between the lower Lib Dem scores that Ipsos MORI and YouGov have been showing in other recent polls.

We saw the same pattern back in June when ComRes released their last poll, when they showed Labour on 31% when YouGov were showing around 35% or 36%, and the Lib Dems a couple of points higher. I'm not going to waste too much time speculating on differences between pollsters at this stage, not until the more regular cycle of polling is established, companies have all made whatever post-election adjustments they are going to make (the previous few ComRes polls have been weighted to actual past vote which I assume is a temporary holding position - I haven't seen the tables for this one yet) and we've had time to digest them.

There were some other interesting questions in the ComRes poll. 73% said it was now difficult to know what the Lib Dems stand for, up from 65% when they asked the same question back in June. In June ComRes found a narrow plurality agreed that the coalition was better than either an outright Conservative or Labour victory (45% to 43%), people now disagree with that by 50% to 36%. Back in June 42% of Tory voters and 37% of Labour voters

agreed with the statement - my guess is that at least the latter of those two has collapsed!