YouGov/Sun - CON 33, LAB 42, LD 11, UKIP 6
Tonight's YouGov results for the Sun are CON 33%, LAB 42%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 6%. The eleven points for the Liberal Democrats is at the top end for YouGov's normal range, but are nothing to get excited about unless they are sustained. YouGov had them at 11% twice last month too, and it didn't come to anything.
Last night YouGov also asked some questions on the coalition following the lords/boundaries breakdown, results are here. Generally speaking more people thought that the Liberal Democrats had kept to their side of the coalition agreement than thought the same about the Conservatives (and as you might expect given that, that the Conservatives have gained more from the coalition than the Liberal Democrats have).
Only 30% of people think the Conservatives have kept to their side of the coalition deal, 51% of people think they have not. In comparison 45% of people think that the Liberal Democrats have kept to their side of the coalition deal, 32% of people think they have not
A majority (68%) of Conservative supporters think their party has kept to their side of the deal, and Tory supporters think the Liberal Democrats have delivered on their side of the deal by 44% to 36%. Contrast this with Liberal Democrat supporters, who clearly feel their party has been treated less fairly - 75% think their own party has kept their side of the deal, but only 24% think the Conservatives have delivered theirs.
Asked about the future of the coalition, 47% of people still expect the coalition to last until the next election or shortly before it, slightly down from 54% when YouGov asked the same question last month. 20% of people now think that the coalition will come to an end within the next year, up from 12% in July.
Asked how long they would LIKE the coalition to continue, 48% of people now say they would like it to end immediately. Obviously answers to this are largely partisan and include the vast majority of Labour supporters, but it also includes 26% of Conservative supporters and 22% of Liberal Democrat supporters.