Populus on the Labour leadership

A new Populus poll in the Times today asked people who they would like to see succeed Tony Blair as Labour leader. Gordon Brown continues to lead, and to dominate amongst Labour voters. 30% of the general public named Brown as their preferred successor, with 11% backing John Reid and 11% Jack Straw (the article gave no figures for Alan Johnson or other potential candidates). Amongst Labour voters Brown received 51% support, with no other candidate getting the support of more than 8% of Labour voters.

The proportion of people wanting Tony Blair to leave office this year has risen to 53%, from 51% in the Populus poll last week.

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Britain’s unwritten constitution assumes the incumbent Prime Minister gets the first chance to form a government. But what happens if that Prime Minister has been personally ejected by voters in their constituency?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

According to a survey of 4,560 children aged 13 - 16, across England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland conducted by Survation for the BBC, teenagers think 'to feel good about what you do' was the most important thing about any future job. 'happiness' was second,

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Our latest default model projection based on current national polling shows that if a general election was held today, Reform would be the biggest party on 226 seats, 100 seats short of a majority. To put Nigel Farage in Downing Street they would require a coalition with the Conservatives -

Local Elections Expectations Management

Writing in the New Statesman Ben Walker speculates that Labour could lose nearly 2,000 seats out of some 2,500 they are defending. This seems catastrophic for Labour and would see the Greens gain almost a 1,000 councillors with Reform expected to take another 1,000 from Labour

Read more

What would happen if the Prime Minister lost their seat?

Teens Think Happiness and Wellbeing More Important Than Money from a Job

Latest General Election Projection: Knife Edge Coalitions

Local Elections Expectations Management