Two things worth looking at elsewhere. The first is an article by Peter Kellner on churn. This is something I've been meaning to write about for sometime but never got round to, but Peter has now done the hardwork himself! I often see people taking about the next
The monthly ICM/Guardian poll is out tonight here. Topline voting intentions are CON 34%(+2), LAB 38%(+3), LDEM 10%(-4), UKIP 11%(+1). In recent years ICM have tended to show the highest level of support for the Liberal Democrats because of their reallocation of don't
The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is up here. Topline voting intentions are CON 35%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10% - a four point Labour lead. On the regular leader questions both Cameron and Miliband are doing comparatively well - 41% think David Cameron is doing well
Populus's twice weekly poll today has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 15% (tabs here. These figures are on the back of a slight tweak in Populus's methodology. Previously they weighted party identification to figures drawn from the 2010 British Social Attitudes
Lord Ashcroft has just released a poll of voting intentions in the Wythenshawe and Sale East by election. Details are here, but essentially it suggests an extremely comfortable Labour hold with UKIP and the Conservatives battling for a distant second place. Voting intentions with changes from the last election are
The monthly Ipsos MORI poll for the Standard is out today with topline voting intention figures of CON 31%(+1), LAB 38%(-1), LDEM 12%(-1), UKIP 10%(-1), not in itself any significant change from last month. Full tabs are here. Econiomic optimism continues to climb, 50% of people
The Sun have tweeted out tonight's YouGov figures. Topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 38%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 11%. The five point lead is the same as in yesterday's Sunday Times. Meanwhile the twice-weekly Populus poll has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 41%, LDEM
As well as the YouGov and Opinium national polls, there were also two Scottish referendum polls. Regular readers will recall that ICM's Scottish poll a week ago showed an interesting narrowing in the race, so the question is whether this will be repeated elsewhere. Survation's first
This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll is up here. Topline voting intention figures are CON 34%, LAB 39%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 11%. Put alongside the YouGov polls this week that showed Labour leads of two, three, three and ten points this doesn't really tell us much
The Sun have tweeted out tonight's YouGov poll - topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 42%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%. This is somewhat at odds with the Labour leads of two, three and three points so far this week, though for what it's worth all four
Tonight's daily YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12% - so a second YouGov poll with a somewhat lower Labour lead than of late. Again, could still be margin of error, or perhaps we are seeing the lead
The monthly ComRes telephone poll for the Independent is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 32% (nc), LAB 33%(-4), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 14%(+4). The one point Labour lead is the lowest ComRes have shown in their phone polls since January 2012, and its the lowest
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