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Latest Ashcroft and Populus figures

I had hoped we might get the monthly ICM poll tonight, but I've seen nothing yet so perhaps it's next week. In the meantime we have Monday's usual Ashcroft and Populus polls. Ashcroft's topline figures with changes from a week ago are

By Anthony Wells 16 Jun 2014

YouGov Sunday polls

There are two YouGov polls in the Sunday papers - one for the Sunday Times (tabs here) and one for the Sun on Sunday (tabs here). Voting intention figures are CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13% and CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 14% respectively. The rest

By Anthony Wells 15 Jun 2014

New Panelbase and ICM Scottish polls

There were two new Scottish polls in the Sunday papers. One was by Panelbase for the SNP, one for ICM in the Scotland on Sunday. The Panelbase poll has topline figures of YES 43%, NO 46%, Don't know 12%. Excluding don't knows that works out at

By Anthony Wells 15 Jun 2014

ComRes/Indy on Sunday - CON 32, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 18

The monthly online ComRes poll for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out and has topline figures of CON 32%(+3), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 18%(-1). Tabs are here. Changes are from a month ago, just prior to the European elections. The two point

By Anthony Wells 14 Jun 2014

YouGov Lib Dem low & new Survation Scottish poll

Two interesting polls last night. The daily YouGov poll for the Sun had topline voting intentions of CON 34%, LAB 36%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5%. That's a couple of lower Labour leads in a row, but as ever, that could easily be margin of error. Worth

By Anthony Wells 12 Jun 2014
Westminster polls and the European elections

Westminster polls and the European elections

We've had a couple of weeks to digest the European elections now, and it looks as if the polls since then have been showing a slightly increased Labour lead. I've done a graph below of the last few months of polls - in order to remove

By Anthony Wells 10 Jun 2014

Latest Populus and Ashcroft figures

Lord Ashcroft's weekly poll this afternoon has topline figures of CON 28%(+3), LAB 32%(-2), LDEM 8%(+2), UKIP 17%(-2). The Labour lead is down by five points but this is very probably a reversion to the mean after an unusual looking poll a week ago.

By Anthony Wells 09 Jun 2014

Latest YouGov and Opinium polls

There are two polls in this morning's papers. The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer has topline figures of CON 31%(-1), LAB 35%(+2), LDEM 6%(-1), UKIP 19%(nc). Charges are from their pre-European election poll, so show the sort of increase in the Labour lead

By Anthony Wells 08 Jun 2014

Newark by-election

Yesterday was the Newark by-election, a relatively comfortable hold for the Conservatives over UKIP in second place. When the by-election was first announced there was an obvious risk for the Tories - it was taking place at a time when UKIP would be basking in the glory of a successful

By Anthony Wells 06 Jun 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 30, LAB 36, LD 8, UKIP 17

This morning's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 30%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 17%. Seventeen percent for UKIP is the highest YouGov have shown since May 2013, also in the aftermath of a strong performance for UKIP at the ballot box. Looking at

By Anthony Wells 03 Jun 2014

Ashcroft poll of Newark has 15 point Tory lead

Lord Ashcroft has released two polls this afternoon, his regular weekly GB poll and a poll for the Newark by-election later this week. In Newark he has topline figures of CON 42%(-12), LAB 20%(-2), LDEM 6%(-14), UKIP 27%(+23) - changes are since the general election. Compared

By Anthony Wells 02 Jun 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 33, LAB 36, LD 7, UKIP 15

The weekly YouGov results for the Sunday Times are up here; topline voting intentions are CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%. Nick Clegg always scores badly on leadership ratings anyway, but following last week he's broken his own records. 13% think he is doing well as

By Anthony Wells 01 Jun 2014
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