The daily YouGov poll for the Sun tonight has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 38%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 13%. We also had the monthly Ipsos MORI political monitor earlier on today - details here. They had topline figures of CON 31%(nc), LAB 34%(nc), LDEM 8%(-1), UKIP
YouGov had a new Scottish referendum poll in this morning's Sun - tabs are now up on the website here. The headline referendum voting figures are 36%(-1) for YES, 53%(+2) for NO, changes are from YouGov's last poll in April. Excluding don't
The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian is out tonight and has topline figures of CON 31%(-2), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 10%(-3), UKIP 16%(+1). Changes are from ICM's poll a month ago which, as you'll note from the changes, showed a Tory lead.
I had hoped we might get the monthly ICM poll tonight, but I've seen nothing yet so perhaps it's next week. In the meantime we have Monday's usual Ashcroft and Populus polls. Ashcroft's topline figures with changes from a week ago are
There are two YouGov polls in the Sunday papers - one for the Sunday Times (tabs here) and one for the Sun on Sunday (tabs here). Voting intention figures are CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 13% and CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 14% respectively. The rest
There were two new Scottish polls in the Sunday papers. One was by Panelbase for the SNP, one for ICM in the Scotland on Sunday. The Panelbase poll has topline figures of YES 43%, NO 46%, Don't know 12%. Excluding don't knows that works out at
The monthly online ComRes poll for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out and has topline figures of CON 32%(+3), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 18%(-1). Tabs are here. Changes are from a month ago, just prior to the European elections. The two point
Two interesting polls last night. The daily YouGov poll for the Sun had topline voting intentions of CON 34%, LAB 36%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5%. That's a couple of lower Labour leads in a row, but as ever, that could easily be margin of error. Worth
We've had a couple of weeks to digest the European elections now, and it looks as if the polls since then have been showing a slightly increased Labour lead. I've done a graph below of the last few months of polls - in order to remove
Lord Ashcroft's weekly poll this afternoon has topline figures of CON 28%(+3), LAB 32%(-2), LDEM 8%(+2), UKIP 17%(-2). The Labour lead is down by five points but this is very probably a reversion to the mean after an unusual looking poll a week ago.
There are two polls in this morning's papers. The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer has topline figures of CON 31%(-1), LAB 35%(+2), LDEM 6%(-1), UKIP 19%(nc). Charges are from their pre-European election poll, so show the sort of increase in the Labour lead
Yesterday was the Newark by-election, a relatively comfortable hold for the Conservatives over UKIP in second place. When the by-election was first announced there was an obvious risk for the Tories - it was taking place at a time when UKIP would be basking in the glory of a successful
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