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New Ashcroft poll of Rochester & Strood

Lord Ashcroft has released a new poll of Rochester and Strood. Topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 17%, LDEM 2%, UKIP 44%, Others 5%. This is a narrower UKIP lead than the ComRes and Survation polls at the end of October, but still enough for a comfortable UKIP win (especially

By Anthony Wells 11 Nov 2014

Latest ICM, Populus and Ashcroft polls

Monday tends to be the day we have the most polls (as telephone polls are usually done over the weekend) and today is no different, with polls from ICM, Ashcroft and Populus. The monthly ICM/Guardian poll has topline figures of CON 31%(nc), LAB 32%(-3), LDEM 11%(nc)

By Anthony Wells 10 Nov 2014

Sunday polls and alternative Labour leaders

Time for a round up of Sunday's polls, with new stuff in the Sunday papers from YouGov, Survation, Opinium and ICM. YouGov's weekly poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 16%, GRN 6%. The poll also asked

By Anthony Wells 09 Nov 2014
How the votes have shifted since 2012

How the votes have shifted since 2012

Over the last year couple of years Labour's lead has gradually been whittled away, from ten points in 2012 they are now holding onto only the very narrowest of leads, with many polls showing them neck and neck. At the same time we have seen UKIP's

By Anthony Wells 07 Nov 2014

Latest Ashcroft marginal polling

Lord Ashcroft put another batch of marginal seat polls out earlier on today. He is gradually moving on up the Lab-v-Con target list, and today's batch of seats covered the twelve Con-v-Lab marginals with majorities between 4.8% and 7.1%. These are seats that would fall to

By Anthony Wells 05 Nov 2014

Latest Ashcroft and Populus polls

Lord Ashcroft's weekly poll today has topline figures of CON 30%(-1), LAB 29%(-2), LDEM 10%(+3), UKIP 16%(-2), GRN 6%(+1). The changes since last week are within the normal margin of error and the overall picture is inline with the broader picture of the

By Anthony Wells 03 Nov 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times - CON 31, LAB 32, LD 7, UKIP 18

The weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll today has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 18%, GRN 6%, continuing YouGov's recent trend of showing a wafer thin Labour lead (tabs are here.) For the first time in YouGov's polling Ed Miliband's

By Anthony Wells 02 Nov 2014

Survation poll in Rochester has UKIP lead growing to 15 points

The Kent Messenger are now reporting the voting intention figures from the Survation/Unite Rochester & Strood poll. Topline figures with changes from the previous Survation Rochester poll right after Mark Reckless's defection are CON 33%(+2), LAB 16%(-9), LDEM 1%(-1), UKIP 48%(+8), GRN

By Anthony Wells 31 Oct 2014

New YouGov GB and Scottish polls

YouGov have two new polls out tonight - the regular GB poll for the Sun, plus a new Scottish poll for the Times. The regular GB poll has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 7%, putting the Conservatives ahead by a margin. Meanwhile the

By Anthony Wells 30 Oct 2014

MORI Scottish poll shows 29 point lead for the SNP

There has been comparatively little Scottish polling since the referendum (partly I expect because newspapers had spent their budgets on pre-referendum polling). I've seen some people spending rather too much time collating and looking at Scottish crossbreaks in GB polls. Personally I wouldn't recommend putting too

By Anthony Wells 30 Oct 2014

YouGov/Sun - CON 31, LAB 34, LDEM 6, UKIP 17, GRN 7

Tonight's YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 34%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 17%, GRN 7%. The Labour lead of three points is actually larger than recent YouGov polls and for the first time in a YouGov poll the Green party are ahead of

By Anthony Wells 29 Oct 2014

Latest Ashcroft, Populus, ComRes and YouGov polls

We've had a busy day of voting intention polls today, four polls from Populus, Ashcroft, YouGov and ComRes, and three of them showing the same lead. Topline figures are: Ashcroft: CON 31%, LAB 31%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 18%, GRN 5% (tabs) Populus: CON 34%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%

By Anthony Wells 27 Oct 2014
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