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ICM Scottish poll gives SNP 17 point lead

Since the Scottish referendum we've had Scottish polls from MORI, Panelbase, YouGov and Survation and they've been consistent in showing large leads for the SNP over Labour in Westminster voting intentions. ICM now have a new Scottish poll out and it shows the same as other

By Anthony Wells 26 Dec 2014

Final polls of 2014

We now have the final YouGov and Populus polls of the year (possibly the last two polls of the year, unless something unexpected turns up). Topline figures are Populus: CON 35%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4% (tabs) YouGov/Sun: CON 32%, LAB 36%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 16%

By Anthony Wells 23 Dec 2014

Survation Scottish poll shows SNP 24 points ahead

Survation have a new Scottish poll in this morning's Daily Record. Topline voting intentions for the Westminster general election are CON 16%, LAB 24%, LDEM 5%, SNP 48%, UKIP 4%, GRN 1%. The poll was conducted between Monday and Thursday so wholly after Jim Murphy's election

By Anthony Wells 22 Dec 2014

Latest YouGov and Opinium polls

We've almost arrived at the Christmas break. Today we have new polls from Opinium (their last of the year) and YouGov (their penultimate of the year - there is one more to come on Monday night). I'm not sure when Populus put out their final poll

By Anthony Wells 21 Dec 2014

Latest MORI poll and Ashcroft constituency polling

Today we've the final Ipsos MORI monthly poll of 2014 and the last 2014 batch of Lord Ashcroft's constituency polling (the keenly awaited Scottish marginals polling is taking place next year). MORI's monthly poll has topline figures of CON 32%(nc), LAB 29%(nc)

By Anthony Wells 18 Dec 2014

ICM/Guardian - CON 28, LAB 33, LDEM 14, UKIP 14, GRN 5

The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian came out today, with topline figures of CON 28%(-3), LAB 33%(+1), LDEM 14%(+3), UKIP 14%(nc), GRN 5%(-1). Tabs are here. There's a movement from Con to Lab since ICM's previous poll, but nothing that

By Anthony Wells 17 Dec 2014

Latest Populus poll and a word about the Christmas break

We're clearly heading towards the Christmas polling break - we've still got the usual Populus poll this morning and YouGov poll tonight, but the weekly Lord Ashcroft poll has shut up shop for the year. All the regular polls tend to stop over Christmas - ostensibly

By Anthony Wells 15 Dec 2014

Sunday YouGov and ComRes polls

Two new polls in the Sunday papers. This week's YouGov/Sunday Times results are here - topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 16%, GRN 7%. The YouGov poll also had questions on the end of the Parliament: the majority of people (56%) think that

By Anthony Wells 14 Dec 2014

YouGov/Sun Scottish poll gives SNP twenty point lead

I'm out this evening so won't be around to write about the new ComRes/Independent on Sunday poll we are due or the regular YouGov/Sunday Times poll, but in meantime just to note the latest YouGov Scottish poll in this morning's Sun. The

By Anthony Wells 13 Dec 2014
Does the rise of UKIP hurt the Conservatives or Labour more?

Does the rise of UKIP hurt the Conservatives or Labour more?

The British Election Study held an event today showcasing some of their latest research. It seems to have provoked another round of the familiar discussion of "does the rise of UKIP hurt Labour or the Conservatives more?". What should perhaps be a bit of an academic question has

By Anthony Wells 09 Dec 2014

Latest Populus, Ashcroft and YouGov polls

Monday is the busiest day each week for polling results, though today we have just the three regulars - YouGov's daily poll, Populus's twice weekly poll and Ashcroft's weekly poll. Topline figures are: Populus - CON 33%, LAB 36%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 15%, GRN

By Anthony Wells 08 Dec 2014

YouGov/Sunday Times- CON 32, LAB 32, LDEM 6, UKIP 17, GRN 7

This week's YouGov/Sunday Times poll is now up here. Topline figures are CON 32%, LAB 32%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 17%, GRN 7%. With Labour and the Conservatives still neck-and-neck this is very much in line with the YouGov polling before the Autumn Statement. Note the level of

By Anthony Wells 07 Dec 2014
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