For the run up to the election Opinium have moved from fortnightly to weekly polls for the Observer, and tonight's figures are CON 32%(nc), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 7%(+2), UKIP 15%(-3), GRN 8%(+2). A couple of other updates. First, I have updated how the
It's been a fairly quiet week for GB voting intention polls, but an interesting one for constituency polling. For GB polls we've had just the regular weekly polls (Opinium for the Observer are now every week) and TNS. Opinium/Observer (30/1/15) - CON 32%
Survation have a new poll out in Sheffield Hallam which gives a ten point lead to Labour. Naturally this has produced a lot of crowing from people who don't much like Nick Clegg and some possibly unwise comments from Nick Clegg about the poll being "bilge"
Today's daily YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 33%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 13%, GRN 7%. This is the first Tory lead from YouGov this week - their underlying average has the two main parties very close to each other, so we should
On average the four Scottish polls so far this year show Labour on 27%, the Lib Dems on 5% and the SNP on 47%. This is the equivalent of a swing of 21 percent from Labour to the SNP and 20.5% the Liberal Democrats to the SNP. On a
The Times tomorrow has a new YouGov poll of Scotland - full figures aren't up yet (the tables will be on the YouGov website tomorrow as usual), but the Times front page has the topline Westminster voting intentions of LAB 27% (no change since YouGov's last
Monday's Populus poll has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 34%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5% (tabs here). Populus have made two changes to their methodology for this poll, detailled here. The first is to start including UKIP in the main prompt for their voting intention questions,
Two polls in the Sunday papers - the fortnightly Opinium for the Observer and the weekly YouGov for the Sunday Times. YouGov have topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 35%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 6%. It's the first Labour lead YouGov have shown for a week. It&
Week four of the year we had the regular YouGov, Ashcroft and Populus polls, the first ComRes telephone poll of the year and the first 2015 GB poll from Survation - the first in a regular series for the Daily Mirror. YouGov/S Times (23/1/15) - CON 32%
Polls often give contrasting results. Sometimes this is because they were done at different times and public opinion has actually changed, but most of time that's not the reason. A large part of the difference between polls showing different results is often simple random variation, good old margin
Scottish Voting Intention for Westminster Scottish Voting Intentions in Westminster since 2014 Survey End Date CON (%) LAB (%) LD (%) SNP (%) UKIP (%) SNP Lead"; $con = mysql_connect("localhost", "ukpoll_ajwells", "haddock"); mysql_select_db ("ukpoll_pollresults"); $result5 = mysql_query ("SELECT * FROM scotvoteint
As well as the regular GB poll, YouGov have released new Welsh and London polls this week. The London polling for the Evening Standard is here and has topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 42%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 10%, GRN 8%. Despite its Conservative mayor London tends to be more
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