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Latest ComRes & ICM, YouGov Wales and EU ref polls

Here's a round up of polls over recent days. For a quiet February week in a post-election year, there's quite a lot to rake over. The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian has topline figures of CON 39%, LAB 32%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 11%, GRN 4%

By Anthony Wells 15 Feb 2016

Latest junior doctors polling and an update from voodoo corner

Ipsos MORI have re-asked their questions on the junior doctors' dispute ahead of the second strike today. The overall level of support remains the same, with two-thirds backing the strike, but underneath that opinions appear to be polarising. While the 66% of people supporting the strike is the same

By Anthony Wells 10 Feb 2016

Latest YouGov and TNS Scottish polls

As well as the new EU poll, Friday's Times also had a new YouGov Scottish poll. There was also a new TNS Scottish poll in the week. Topline voting intentions for Holyrood were: YouGov (tabs) Constituency: SNP 50%(-1), LAB 19%(-2), CON 20%(+1), LDEM 6%(+1)

By Anthony Wells 06 Feb 2016

YouGov poll on the draft EU renegotiations

Tomorrow's Times has a YouGov poll on the EU, conducted after the announcement of the draft renegotiation proposals. Topline referendum voting intentions are REMAIN 36%(-2), LEAVE 45%(+3), DK/WNV 19%. While the changes since YouGov's last poll a week ago aren't huge,

By Anthony Wells 04 Feb 2016

Latest ComRes and YouGov polls

A quick update on some polling figures from the last few days. ComRes released a new telephone poll for the Daily Mail on Friday. Topline voting intention figures were CON 37%, LAB 32%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4% (tabs are here.) On the EU referendum ComRes had voting intentions

By Anthony Wells 31 Jan 2016

Ipsos MORI/Standard - CON 40, LAB 31, LD 7, UKIP 11, GRN 4

Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor is out today, with topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 31%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 11%, GRN 4%. Full details and tables are here. MORI also asked respondents to choose between the parties on various more specific measures - a bank of questions with

By Anthony Wells 28 Jan 2016

What the Polling Inquiry said

Today the polling inquiry under Pat Sturgis' presented its initial findings on what caused the polling error. Pat himself, Jouni Kuha and Ben Lauderdale all went through their findings at a meeting at the Royal Statistical Society - the full presentation is up here. As we saw in the

By Anthony Wells 19 Jan 2016

Initial findings of the Polling Inquiry

The MRS/BPC Polling Inquiry under Pat Sturgis is due to release it's initial findings at a meeting this afternoon (and a final written report in March). While I expect much more detail this afternoon they've press released the headline findings overnight. As I suggested here,

By Anthony Wells 19 Jan 2016

ICM/Guardian - CON 40, LAB 35, LDEM 6, UKIP 10, GRN 3

The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian is out today and has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 35%, LDEM 6%, UKIP 10%, GRN 3%. The full details are on ICM's website here and again come with some pretty candid and downbeat commentary from Martin Boon, who writes

By Anthony Wells 18 Jan 2016

This week's Polling Inquiry

On Tuesday the BPC/MRS's inquiry into why the polls went wrong publishes its first findings. Here's what you need to know in advance. The main thing the inquiry is looking at is why the polls were wrong. There are, essentially, three broad categories of problems

By Anthony Wells 17 Jan 2016

Latest Scottish and EU polling

Survation had a new poll of Scottish voting intentions in the Holyrood election this week. As usual in the present Scottish political scene they show a towering SNP lead, with Labour second and the Conservatives in third. Constituency voting intentions are SNP 52%, LAB 21%, CON 16%, LDEM 7%; Regional

By Anthony Wells 15 Jan 2016

Polling on the Junior Doctors Strike

Support or opposition to strike action is often largely influenced by people's attitudes to the people going on strike and the inconvenience it causes them. If it's a profession that people admire and think is generally hard done by they'll sympathise, if it'

By Anthony Wells 12 Jan 2016
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