A fortnight ago, shortly after the budget, YouGov produced a poll showing a startling 16 point Tory lead, which at first glance looked like an obvious rogue. A couple of days later though an ICM poll showed a 13 point lead, suggesting that the double-point Tory lead was genuine and
We are still in the period when no one really should be publishing any polls, since the fieldwork would have had to have been done over the Easter weekend. Here's some things to keep you amused. Firstly, over at the Election Guide part of the site I have
We shouldn't expect many political polls in the next few days given the Easter break (and if we do, we should probably be wary of them for the same reason) In the meantime here's an Ipsos MORI poll on class. The poll found 52% of respondents
One I missed: a week or so ago there was a MRUK Cello poll in the Sunday Times on Scottish voting intentions. For the Westminster Parliament support stood at CON 18%, LAB 34%, LDEM 11%, SNP 34%. For Holyrood, the constituency vote was CON 15%, LAB 31%, LDEM 12%, SNP
On his blog Iain Dale has a presentation from a Lib Dem conference last spring that included some polling on attitudes towards coalitions. As the third party the media don't often commission interesting polling stuff about the Lib Dems, so it's nice to have some. Sadly
While the 16 point Tory lead on Sunday provided big headlines and no doubt cheered up Conservatives across the country, I suspect even the most rabid Tory suspected in their heart that it was probably an outlier and that the lead would return to more normal levels in the next
A new YouGov poll for the Evening Standard has voting intentions in the London mayoral election, with changes from the last poll carried out in late February, of JOHNSON 49%(+5), LIVINGSTONE 37%(-2), PADDICK 12%(nc). The poll was conducted between the 12th and 14th of March, and is
The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are here, no tables yet for ICM, but the News of the World report is here. As with Populus's poll in the week, the individual measures announced in the budget were broadly positive received. 68% told YouGov they supported
YouGov's monthly poll for the Sunday Times, one of the the first voting intention polls since the budget, has quite startling topline figures: CON 43%(+3), LAB 27%(-6), LDEM 16%(nc). The poll was conducted between the 13th and 14th of March, so after respondents would have
An ICM poll for the BBC today is showing a increase in support for British military involvement in Afghanistan. There are still more people opposed than supportive of British involvement - 48% to 40%, but this is down from when ICM last asked in 2006 when the figures were 53%
The first snapshot budget poll - done on Wednesday afternoon and evening by Populus - is up on the Times website. Only 596 respondents and no voting intention, but it is our first straw in the wind and it's a mixed picture for the government. The 'showroom
We probably won't get any actually polling evidence on the budget until tonight at the very earliest. If the two biggest changes in the budget were taxes on alcohol and cars, what can we expect to see? The Wine and Spirit Trade Association commissioned an ICM poll on
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