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Labour recovery in latest Populus poll

Populus's monthly poll for the Times shows a significant drop in the Conservative lead. The topline figures, with changes from Populus's last poll, are apparently CON 41%(-4), LAB 28%(+3), LDEM 19%(-1). Interestingly YouGov's last poll also showed a recovery for Labour.

By Anthony Wells 07 Jul 2008
Testing likelihood to vote

Testing likelihood to vote

Looking again at MORI's review of their methodology I spotted the rather interesting nugget that "the academic British Election Study (BES) from the 2005 general election [...] has the advantage of having had the turnout of its individual respondents validated against the marked-up electoral register". Indeed it

By Anthony Wells 07 Jul 2008

Tory sleaze?

Yesterday I had a post up on PoliticsHome looking at some of the recent Phi5000 results, specifically Caroline Spelman's ratings. Since the first revelations about her once paying her nanny from public funds came to light her ratings have slumped. There's nothing particularly surprising about that,

By Anthony Wells 07 Jul 2008
Are young people becoming more Tory?

Are young people becoming more Tory?

According to Opinionpanel's regular surveys of opinion amongst students, the Conservatives are now by far the most popular party amongst students. The latest figures from their May 2008 poll had party support at CON 45%, LDEM 31%, LAB 24% (the headline figures they produce are repercentaged to include

By Anthony Wells 05 Jul 2008

Support for ID Cards

The latest in the regular series of ICM polls No2ID have commissioned tracking the public's support for ID cards shows the public continue to be pretty evenly split with 48% thinking ID cards are a good idea, 46% a bad idea. While slightly more people support them than

By Anthony Wells 01 Jul 2008

A third new poll

After new YouGov and Ipsos-MORI polls, we have the third new poll in 24 hours. The latest ComRes poll for the Independent has topline voting intentions of CON 46%(+2), LAB 25%(-1), LDEM 18%(+1). It as conducted between the 25th and 26th of June, and there is clearly

By Anthony Wells 27 Jun 2008

MORI return to the fray with a 17 point Tory lead

MORI's June political monitor has been published and is online here. The topline voting intention figures are CON 45%, LAB 28%, LDEM 16%. It was carried out between the 13th and 15th June. I haven't put a change since the last MORI poll for two reasons

By Anthony Wells 27 Jun 2008

How it went wrong

I have a long post up on PoliticsHome looking at how Labour got into the position of being 20 points behind, based on the daily data produced by their Phi5000 panel. It's very clear that the point when their reputation really crumbled was during the 10p tax row,

By Anthony Wells 27 Jun 2008

Tory lead drops back below 20 points

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph has topline voting intention figures of CON 46%(-1), LAB 28%(+3), LDEM 15%(-3). The 18 point Tory lead is the smallest YouGov have shown for a couple of months - since the local elections they have been consistently showing a

By Anthony Wells 26 Jun 2008

Another 20 point Tory lead

ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline voting intention figures, with changes from their previous poll, of CON 45%(+3), LAB 25%(-1), LDEM 20%(-1). The poll was conducted between the 20th and 22nd June. The timing means that the public would have had time to

By Anthony Wells 24 Jun 2008

BPIX show 23 point Tory lead

A BPIX poll in the Mail on Sunday has voting intention figures of CON 49%, LAB 26%, LDEM 14%. There hasn't been a BPIX poll for many months - since last year in fact - so there are no changes from the previous poll. Apart from the Lib

By Anthony Wells 21 Jun 2008

YouGov on civil liberties and Davis

YouGov have carried out a series of questions on civil liberties for the Economist - full tables here, asking respondents whether a series of issues seen as an encroachment on civil liberties are, on balance, a good or bad thing. Widespread CCTV met with the most support - 74% thought

By Anthony Wells 21 Jun 2008
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