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The mobile phone vote

Over at Comment Central Danny's sidekick Alice picks up the interesting fact that there is a signficant difference in US polls that include cellphones and those that do not - if the sample includes cellphones Barack Obama has a 4 point bigger lead. Alice's conclusion is

By Anthony Wells 04 Nov 2008

Does the Express show Labour ahead in Glenrothes?

The Scottish Daily Express claims to have a poll on the Glenrothes by-election. They quote figures of Labour on 26.5% and the SNP on 23%, with the Conservatives on 4% and the Lib Dems on 2%. There is no sign of who conducted it, the only clue is that

By Anthony Wells 02 Nov 2008

BPIX show Tory lead of 14 points

There is a BPIX poll in the Mail on Sunday with voting intentions (with changes from their previous poll a fortnight ago) of CON 45%(-1), LAB 31%(+1), LDEM 13%(nc). Again there is no significant change, despite the return to normal politics and the Osborne funding affair. However,

By Anthony Wells 01 Nov 2008

Can McCain still win?

I haven't followed the polls in the US presidential race in any detail - there are dozens of polls every day and I could never hope to do half as good as job as Mark Blumenthal over at Pollster.com, with just a couple of days to go

By Anthony Wells 01 Nov 2008

Labour's image is becoming less sleazy

I've had chance to look at the proper figures from this mornings YouGov poll, including their regular trackers which produce some interesting findings. While there were more respondents who claimed their opinion of Brown had got worse over recent weeks than those who said it had improved, the

By Anthony Wells 31 Oct 2008

YouGov's October Poll

YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph has topline figures, with changes since the YouGov poll for the Mirror a fortnight ago, of CON 42%(nc), LAB 33%(-1), LDEM 15%(+1). The Lib Dems are marginally up, Labour marginally down, but shifts of a single point are insignificant:

By Anthony Wells 30 Oct 2008

Would you vote for an atheist

As well as the voting intention poll for the Indy, ComRes have also published a poll they have conducted for Theos. As with every other UK poll on the US election, it shows British people would overwhelmingly back Barack Obama rather than John McCain were they to have a vote

By Anthony Wells 28 Oct 2008

ComRes show 8 point Tory lead

There is a new ComRes poll in the Independent tomorrow with topline figures - with changes from ComRes's most recent poll in the Sunday Indy - of CON 39%(-1), LAB 31%(nc), LDEM 16%(nc). The poll was conducted between the 24th and 26th October. Clearly there

By Anthony Wells 28 Oct 2008

Labour move back ahead in Scotland

YouGov has a new poll of Scottish voting intentions in the Sunday Times. The full voting intentions, with changes from YouGov's last Scottish poll in September are: In a Westminster General election CON 20%(+3), LAB 38%(+6), LDEM 11%(-2), SNP 29%(-5) In the Scottish Parliament

By Anthony Wells 26 Oct 2008

YouGov show a swing to Labour in the marginals

YouGov have repeated their poll of 60 Lab/Con marginal seats for Channel 4 (I wrote about the previous survey here). Labour's share of the vote in these seats has increased by 6 points since the previous poll in early September, while the Conservatives are down 2 points.

By Anthony Wells 22 Oct 2008

Ipsos MORI's October Monitor

MORI's October poll has topline figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 45%(-7), LAB 30%(+6), LDEM 14%(+2). It was conducted between the 17th and 19th October. There are huge changes from their last poll which was conducted in mid-September. It is hard to

By Anthony Wells 22 Oct 2008

Former Lib Dem Leaders

Sir Menzies Campbell 2006-2007 Sir Menzies Campbell Approval Ratings YouGov: (1) Do you think Sir Menzies Campbell is doing well or badly as leader of the Liberal Democrats? (2) Do you think Sir Menzies Campbell is or is not proving a good leader of the Liberal Democrats? ICM: Are you

By Anthony Wells 21 Oct 2008
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