There is a new YouGov poll in tomorrow's Sunday People. I can't find an online source yet, but Sky TV reports it as showing topline figures of CON 45%(nc), LAB 27%(nc), LDEM 17%(-1). These figures are almost identical to the previous YouGov poll,
John Craig on Sky News keeps mentioning a new poll (or polls) due out tonight, which suggests are more bad news for Labour. I don't know anything about any, but I'll update as soon as a I hear anything.
As well as the GB voting intention figures in the Telegraph, the SNP also released figures for voting intention in Scotland from their latest YouGov poll. Topline figures, with changes from YouGov's last Scottish poll in mid-March are Scottish Parliament constituency voting intention: CON 15%(+1), LAB 30%
The Telegraph have published the first voting intention poll since the budget. The topline figures in the YouGov poll, with changes from their last one, are CON 45%(+4), LAB 27%(-7), LDEM 18%(+2). It was conducted between Wednesday and Thursday afternoon. Needless to say, it shows a collapse
The Times is reporting a snap Populus poll, which interviewed 500 or so people on Wednesday night. The sample obviously isn't large enough for accurate voting intention figures, but gives us the first - rather mixed - signals of how the budget wasa received. Most of the measures
We won't get any polling reaction to the budget for a couple of days - even if anyone does carry out an instant poll this afternoon for publication tomorrow, I'm not a huge fan of them as the fieldwork ends up being done after the budget
The tables for MORI's monthly poll are now up on their website so we can dig around inside them and look at the maths. Obviously with such a surprising shift in support, the thing I looked at first was Liberal Democrat support. What actually caused that jump in
The big leap in Liberal Democrat support isn't the only surprise in today's MORI poll. As I wrote in the update below, there is also a big jump in economic optimism. I thought it might be a good time to take a wider look at economic
Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor also shows Labour down since "smeargate", but the overwhelming benificaries are the Liberal Democrats. The full topline figures with changes from last month are CON 41%(-1), LAB 28%(-4), LDEM 22%(+8)! Any polls showing a party moving by 8
ICM's monthly poll for the Guardian has topline figures, with changes from the last ICM poll, of CON 40%(-4), LAB 30%(-1), LDEM 19%(+1). The poll was conducted between the 17th and 19th April. It shows a sharply different result from the two polls at the
Unless they have delayed it until after the budget, I would expect an ICM/Guardian poll to be out tonight. I may not be back from a meeting until after it appears, so feel free to discuss it in this thread.
There was a Populus poll for the BBC on last night's Westminster Hour asking some questions looking forward to the budget. On balance respondents said they would prefer spending cuts to tax increases in the budget. 21% of people wanted the emphasis to be more (or entirely) upon
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