Back at the start of August I promised you a round-up of the political position as we go into the final Parliamentary term of the election. August has been and gone, and I've failed to deliver! The truth is it grew. From being a look at the last
Yesterday I wrote that to get a better idea of regional differences in swings you really need either properly weighted regional polls, or at least specially commissioned large scale polls. Sadly I can't offer you the former, but electoralcalculus have dug out the figures for the big YouGov
There is a new ComRes poll in tomorrow's Indy. Topline figures, with changes from their last poll a fortnight ago, are CON 40%(-1), LAB 24%(nc), LDEM 21%(+3). So, an insignificant drop for the Conservatives, but a jump in Lib Dem support. That's the
I seem to spend an inordinate amount of time telling people not to look at regional splits in polls and get all excited about them, so here goes again: regional splits in individual voting intention polls rarely tell you anything at all. The Telegraph today has looked at their Yougov
Today's Telegraph has a new YouGov poll with topline figures (with changes from their poll a week ago) of CON 40%(-2), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 18%(+1). Others are up 1 at 15%. Changes are all very minor, but it is the lowest Conservative lead from YouGov
Two nuggets of polling today. Firstly Mike Smithson has the voting intention figures from the SNP's YouGov poll, which shows a drop in support for the Liberal Democrats since YouGov's previous Scottish poll a week earlier. Holyrood Constituency: CON 16%(nc), LAB 28%(+1), LDEM 14%
There is yet another Scottish poll asking if people agree or disagree with Abdelbaset Ali Mohmed Al-Megrahi's release from prison. This time it was commissioned by the SNP and carried out by YouGov, and for the first time it shows support and opposition to the decision equal, both
There is a new YouGov poll in tomorrow's Sun. Topline figures, with changes from YouGov's previous poll are CON 42%(nc), LDEN 28%(+2), LDEM 17%(-1). YouGov's last poll was done just one day before this, with their fieldwork periods overlapping, so it&
Here's a number 138 for John Rentoul's list of "questions to which the answer is no". The Observer's report of Ipsos MORI's monthly poll contained this rather interesting nugget: "if turnout were to hit an unusual high of 78%
The voting intention figures for YouGov's monthly poll for the Telegraph have finally surfaced. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov's previous poll in mid-August, are CON 42%(nc), LAB 26%(-2), LDEM 18%(nc). Once again, not much change in the figures. It puts the
At least two new polls in the Sunday papers. Firstly, the Observer has Ipsos MORI's monthly political monitor which has topline figures (with changes from MORI's last poll in mid-July) of CON 43%(+3), LAB 26%(+2), LDEM 17%(-1). The Conservative lead remains pretty steady,
Scottish polls by YouGov and ICM are now joined by Ipsos MORI, who have carried out a poll of 534 people in Scotland on behalf of Reuters. Again, we have a slightly different result, but with the balance of Scottish opinion still opposed to the decision. 47% of the Scots
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