I am expecting three new polls tonight. YouGov in the Sun (normally at around 10pm, though sometimes Sky News seem to have the figures earlier), ICM in the Guardian (normally a bit earlier - I've heard it could be very soon), and there is apparently at least one
There's an interesting MORI question in Total Politics here: they asked people to imagine that at the next election the candidate of the party they would normally vote for had been caught up in the expenses scandal, would they still vote for the party they wanted to win
Sky News are reporting YouGov's daily poll for the Sunday Times. The topline figures with changes from Friday's poll are CON 39%(nc), LAB 29%(-2), LDEM 20%(+1). It is YouGov's highest lead for the Conservatives since January and the poll immediately following
There is a new Angus Reid poll in the Sunday Express tomorrow. Topline figures are CON 38%(+1), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 20%(-2). Changes are from the Angus Reid poll for PoliticalBetting which was conducted just one day earlier, so most likely are just normal sample variation. There will
We did this at the start of last month and it was quite fun, so since there aren't any polls due tonight and we're expecting the election to be called next week, here's another chance for people to exchange their general election predictions.
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 39%(+1), LAB 31%(-1), LDEM 19%(nc). There is no significant change from yesterday, but it does underline that YouGov now seem to be showing a Conservative lead of around about 7 points, compared to 4 points last week.
Personally I try not to get involved in knocking down some of the more outre polling conspiracy theories, especially since recently lots of them have been YouGov related. On UKPR I've always tried to educate about how polls work and what the differences are, rather than campaign for
ICM's latest poll for the Guardian has topline figures, with changes from their previous poll a week or so ago, of CON 38%(-1), LAB 29%(-2), LDEM 23%(+4). The poll was conducted on the 30th and 31st March. There is a significant increase in Liberal Democrat
There is an interesting response from Peter Kellner here about something that looks set to be in the Telegraph tomorrow. I'll have more to say about it later. Tonight I'm expecting at least two new polls. UPDATE: Almost as I hit submit, I found yet another
There are three new polls tonight. YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 38%(nc), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 19%(nc). Labour are up one point, but there is no significant change. Last week the Conservatives had a lead over Labour of about 4
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 38%(-1), LAB 31%(-1), LDEM 19%(+1). The lead remains at seven points and there is clearly no significant change from yesterday. The increased Tory lead post budget does seem to be genuine, though as I said yesterday, we
There are three new polls tonight, and they all show a post-budget swing towards the Conservatives. YouGov/Sun: CON 39%(+2), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 18%(-1) ComRes/Independent: CON 37%(nc), LAB 30%(-2), LDEM 20%(+1) Opinium/Express: CON 38%(+1), LAB 28%(-2), LDEM 18%(+3) YouGov&
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