We did this at the start of last month and it was quite fun, so since there aren't any polls due tonight and we're expecting the election to be called next week, here's another chance for people to exchange their general election predictions.
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 39%(+1), LAB 31%(-1), LDEM 19%(nc). There is no significant change from yesterday, but it does underline that YouGov now seem to be showing a Conservative lead of around about 7 points, compared to 4 points last week.
Personally I try not to get involved in knocking down some of the more outre polling conspiracy theories, especially since recently lots of them have been YouGov related. On UKPR I've always tried to educate about how polls work and what the differences are, rather than campaign for
ICM's latest poll for the Guardian has topline figures, with changes from their previous poll a week or so ago, of CON 38%(-1), LAB 29%(-2), LDEM 23%(+4). The poll was conducted on the 30th and 31st March. There is a significant increase in Liberal Democrat
There is an interesting response from Peter Kellner here about something that looks set to be in the Telegraph tomorrow. I'll have more to say about it later. Tonight I'm expecting at least two new polls. UPDATE: Almost as I hit submit, I found yet another
There are three new polls tonight. YouGov's daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 38%(nc), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 19%(nc). Labour are up one point, but there is no significant change. Last week the Conservatives had a lead over Labour of about 4
Tonight's YouGov poll has topline figures of CON 38%(-1), LAB 31%(-1), LDEM 19%(+1). The lead remains at seven points and there is clearly no significant change from yesterday. The increased Tory lead post budget does seem to be genuine, though as I said yesterday, we
There are three new polls tonight, and they all show a post-budget swing towards the Conservatives. YouGov/Sun: CON 39%(+2), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 18%(-1) ComRes/Independent: CON 37%(nc), LAB 30%(-2), LDEM 20%(+1) Opinium/Express: CON 38%(+1), LAB 28%(-2), LDEM 18%(+3) YouGov&
The full results of YouGov's poll in the Sunday Times are here. Notable is the economic optimism question. When YouGov asked the same question for the Sun just before the budget on March 22nd-23rd net economic optimism was minus 10, matching it's January peak. When YouGov
I'm expecting several polls tonight as the papers commission surveys to test the post-budget mood. First out of the traps is a new ICM poll in the News of the World, topline figures are CON 39%(+1), LAB 31%(-1), LDEM 19%(nc) - so a slight widening
We won't have any more voting intention polls till tonight, but we have had some polling as the budget itself. YouGov's Sun poll also had some specific questions on the poll, ComRes had a poll for the Daily Politics, Populus have some findings here and Political
Tonights's Yougov tracker has topline figures of CON 37%(+1), LAB 33%(-1), LDEM 18%(+1), so the Tory lead goes back to four points. As I said yesterday, we'll never know for sure whether yesterday's two point lead was just an outlier, or
Sign up to receive occasional updates from UK Polling Report.