D minus 29 Tonight's polls: Angus Reid/Political Betting (6th Apr-7th Apr) CON 37%(-1), LAB 26%(-1), LDEM 22%(+2) YouGov/Sun (6th Apr-7th Apr) CON 37%(-3), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 19%(+2) Populus/Times (6th Apr-7th Apr) CON 39%(-1), LAB 32%(+2), LDEM 21%
YouGov's daily poll in the Sun has topline figures of CON 37%(-3), LAB 32%(nc), LDEM 19%(+2). This means that both Angus Reid and YouGov are suggesting a boost to the Lib Dems from the first day of the campaign, though realistically these things could just
Populus's poll for the Times is out here. The topline figures are CON 39%(-1), LAB 32%(+2), LDEM 21%(+1). Changes are from way back in February, since Populus did a marginal poll instead in March. Populus found economic optimism continuing to rise, the net economic optimism
There is a new Angus Reid out on Political Betting. The topline figures with changes from their poll in the Sunday Express are CON 37%(-1), LAB 26%(-1), LDEM 22%(+2). The poll was conducted Tuesday and today, so is mostly "post-announcement". No significant change in itself.
D minus 30. Tonight's polls: YouGov/Sun (5th Apr-6th Apr) CON 40%(-1), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 17%(-1) As far as I know the only new GB poll tonight is YouGov's daily poll in the Sun. I'm sure I heard something in the
Tonight's daily poll from YouGov has topline figures of: YouGov/Sun (5th Apr-6th Apr) CON 40%(-1), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 17%(-1) According to the BBC newspaper review there may also be a poll of marginal seats in the Independent. I haven't seen anything else
YouGov's poll in the Sun today has topline figures of CON 41%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%, so little change in the Conservative lead as we head towards the election. This poll has a significant methodological change, albeit one which has made hardly any difference to the topline figures.
So, with Gordon Brown expected to call the election tomorrow, tonight's should be the last polls before the formal campaign kicks off. It's unfortunate timing, given that bank holiday weekends (particularly long bank holiday weekends) have something of a reputation for producing strange samples. I'
I am expecting three new polls tonight. YouGov in the Sun (normally at around 10pm, though sometimes Sky News seem to have the figures earlier), ICM in the Guardian (normally a bit earlier - I've heard it could be very soon), and there is apparently at least one
There's an interesting MORI question in Total Politics here: they asked people to imagine that at the next election the candidate of the party they would normally vote for had been caught up in the expenses scandal, would they still vote for the party they wanted to win
Sky News are reporting YouGov's daily poll for the Sunday Times. The topline figures with changes from Friday's poll are CON 39%(nc), LAB 29%(-2), LDEM 20%(+1). It is YouGov's highest lead for the Conservatives since January and the poll immediately following
There is a new Angus Reid poll in the Sunday Express tomorrow. Topline figures are CON 38%(+1), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 20%(-2). Changes are from the Angus Reid poll for PoliticalBetting which was conducted just one day earlier, so most likely are just normal sample variation. There will
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