Tonight's YouGov poll shows the Lib Dem boost continuing. The topline figures are CON 32%(-1), LAB 26%(-3), LDEM 33%(+4), so following on from BPIX yesterday we now have YouGov putting the Lib Dems in the lead. The 32% is the lowest the Conservatives have been
So, we can be pretty confident now that there is a genuine surge in Lib Dems support. Apart from how long it lasts, and the affect on the narrative of the election, the other unknown is exactly who has shifted, and perhaps more importantly where. We will get a better
YouGov's daily poll tonight has toplines of CON 33%(nc), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 29%(-1). Labour are back into second place, but there isn't really any significant change from yesterday, it's just random sample error between the polls and while the parties remain
There is a BPIX poll in tomorrow's Mail on Sunday which has topline figures of CON 31%(-7), LAB 28%(-3), LDEM 32%(+12). That's the biggest drop for Conservatives so far, and the biggest surge for the Lib Dems - and it puts the Liberal
Two of Sunday's polls have already been released - a new poll by ComRes for the Sunday Mirror has topline figures of CON 31%(-4), LAB 27%(-2), LDEM 29%(+8). This was conducted yesterday and today, and is very much in line with the YouGov figures yesterday,
For once I do not need to add a caveat about changes being inside the margin of error and not necessarily being significant - today's YouGov poll for the Sun shows a huge surge for the Liberal Democrats on the back of Nick Clegg's debate performance,
I've been rushed off my feet for most of the day and have missed the fuss over the ComRes figures. What seems to have happened is that ComRes included a voting intention question on its instant reaction poll straight after the debate yesterday. This had figures of Con
There are more details of the YouGov poll in the Sun here. The topline figures show Clegg winning easily, 51% thought he performed the best compared to 29% for Cameron and 19% for Brown. Looking at the other questions Clegg was least likely to be seen as evasive by a
A lot of comments here citing various voodoo polls from newspaper websites. Ignore them - they reflect the party allegiances of that website's audience (the Guardian's web poll has Brown second - shock! Daily Mail has Cameron first- wow!), do not attempt to be politically balanced
Leaving aside your own party preference, who do you think performed best overall in tonight’s debate? Gordon Brown 19% David Cameron 29% Nick Clegg 51% Don’t know 2% Angus Reid have a page where you can watch the answers to their survey coming in here. I'm
Here's a thread for discussion of the debate, please try to contribute in the spirit of the comments policy and not robotically say how rubbish the other leaders are (and once the debate is finished, keep your judgements to this thread and leave the threads on the post
They'll be out of date in half an hour anyway, but for what it is worth there are two new polls tonight from YouGov and TNS BMRB. TNS BMRB have topline figures, with changes from the end of March, of CON 36%(-2), LAB 33%(nc), LDEM 22%
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